Peter Thiel has an interesting discussion with Francis Fukuyama. There are lots of nuggets, but the following encapsulated my thinking on the lack of innovation...
"[The Space Shuttle Program] was an extraordinary program. It cost more and did less and was probably less safe than the original Apollo program. In 2011, when it finally ended, there was a sense of the space age being over. Not quite, but it’s very far off from what we had decades ago. You could argue that we had more or better-targeted funding in the 1950s and 1960s, but the other place where the regulatory situation is radically different is that technology is much more heavily regulated than it used to be. It’s much harder to get a new drug through the FDA process. It takes a billion dollars. I don’t even know if you could get the polio vaccine approved today.
"One regulatory perspective is that environmentalism has played a much greater role than people think. It induced a deep skepticism about anything involving the manipulation of nature or material objects in the real world. The response to environmentalism was to prohibit scientists from experimenting with stuff and only allow them to do so with bits. So computer science and finance were legal, and what they have in common is that they involve the manipulation of bits rather than stuff. They both did well in those forty years, but all the other engineering disciplines were stymied. Electric engineering, civil engineering, aeronautical, nuclear, petroleum—these were all held back, and attracted fewer talented students at university as the years went on. When people wonder why all the rocket scientists went to work on Wall Street, well, they were no longer able to build rockets. It’s some combination of an ossified, Weberian bureaucracy and the increasingly hostile regulation of technology. That’s very different from the 1950s and 1960s. There’s a powerful libertarian argument that government used to be far less intrusive, but found targeted ways to advance science and technology."
It is good to see you back to posting, Dan. Did you ever get to see the inside of SpaceX?
As for today's discussion, I view all of this as an issue of vision. Because so many people have different visions of what government should do, we have legislation that creates bureaucracies instead of results, the appearance of effort instead of measuring achievement, choices made for political gain instead of societal value.
As long as the politics of the US are polarized to the exclusion of any shared vision, we can expect the effort of governance will focus on defeating the opposite pole rather than achieving any useful goals, be they in space or here on earth.
Posted by: Tom Goodman | March 06, 2012 at 12:50 PM
"In 2011, when [the space shuttle program] finally ended, there was a sense of the space age being over." And this is certainly my sense as well. Like Tom says, there's no "vision". I would say there's no goal: We just don't know what we're suppose to be doing up there to rationalize the costs. In the 60s we were at war (a great PR-war) with the Soviets. Now, that's motivating! Here's my (first?) take on where we are: http://powerparadigms.blogspot.de/2012/02/island-builders.html
I would say that government is hardly the problem. It's - just the same - hardly the answer:-)
Cheers, Dom
Posted by: Dominic | April 14, 2012 at 01:36 AM
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Sunderland's crunch-game against Fulham was abandoned after 21 minutes {because of|due to|as {a result|an effect|an outcome|an end result} of|as {a consequence|a result|an effect} of} bad {weather conditions|climate conditions|conditions|climate} {at the|in the|on the|with the} Stadium of Light. |This {is done|is performed|is completed|is conducted} {because the|since the|as the|for {the reason|the main reason|the reason why|the key reason why} that} order of play is {from the|in the|from your|through the} dealer?s {right to|to|directly to|to certainly} left. The latest encryption software uses 128 bit security codes {to protect|to safeguard|to guard|to shield} data. |And {not only|not just|not merely|not simply} is he a familiar face in poker rooms {across the|{over the|within the|on the|in the}|throughout the|through the} country, he?s also {the face|the face area|the facial skin|the eye} {of a|{of the|from the|with the|in the}|of your|of an} new poker site. 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There are information {of many|of numerous|of several|of countless} casino games including UK bingo, internet poker, craps, online roulette, sports betting, baccarat, blackjack and slots. |Their stint {in the|within the|inside the|inside} 2002 World Cup was their first but {they have|they've|they've got|they have got} the victory {{over the|within the|on the|in the}|within the|on the|in the} third-placed team of 1998, Croatia, {to draw|to attract|to draw in} inspiration from. 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If not, {you get|you receive|you obtain|you will get} payment {on their|on the|on their own|on his or her} ante {only if|only when|as long as|provided that} {it pays|its smart|it's good|it can be profitable} even money ({1 {to 1|to at least one|to a single|one}|1-to-1|one to one}) ? and {as long as you|so long as you|if you|providing you} didn?t fold. |This continues {in a|inside a|in the|in a very} second round {and so|and thus|therefore|so} on until {a player|{a person|an individual|someone|somebody}|a new player|a gamer} "folds," or gives up. *Just like poker, there {is a|is {really a|a real|a legitimate}|can be a|is often a} strategy card {you can|you {are able|can|can afford|will probably} to|it {is possible|can be done|is achievable|may be possible} to|you'll {be able|have the ability|find a way|have the opportunity} to} refer {to beat|to conquer|to get over|to overpower} your playmates. |Remember, 70% {of the|from the|with the|in the} time other players {are ready|are prepared|are set|are positioned} to fold {in search|searching|browsing|looking} {of a|of the|of your|of an} hand {that they|they|which they|that they can} think favors them! 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However, {some basic|some fundamental|some rudimentary|some elementary} criteria {can definitely|will surely|really can|can} {be of|constitute|represent|be the} instrumental help. |The {majority of|most of|most|tastes} advertisements and banners feature scantly clad beautiful {young women|ladies|women|younger ladies} or round tables {full of|filled with|packed with|brimming with} cigar smoking male poker players. How {many of|a lot of|lots of|most of} you play console, computer or arcade driving games? And {how many|the number of|the amount of|what number of} {of you|individuals|people|person} {who do|that do|that} play these games drive those simulated cars {like it|enjoy it|want it|as it} doesn?t hitting walls, other cars, or people at speeds that {in real|in tangible|in solid}-life would kill you {or others|varieties|forms of languages|kinds}? Of course {{you do|you need to do|you are doing|one does}|you {need to|have to|must|should} do|you are doing|one does}, {because the|since the|as the|for {the reason|the main reason|the reason why|the key reason why} that} aim is {to have|to possess|to get|to own} fun, it?s a GAME; it?s NOT REAL. |Clink, clink, clink, drop, winner! And {what makes|why is|the thing that makes|why} {this game|farmville|the bingo|mafia wars} {even better|better still|better yet|best of all} {is that|is the {fact that|proven fact that|undeniable fact that|idea that}|is always that|is} {we get|we obtain|we have|we} {to have|to possess|to get|to own} this fun experience about once per 1-2 minutes-{depending on|{based on|according to|depending on|determined by}|according to|determined by} {how fast|how quickly|how rapid|how soon} {the game|the sport|the overall game|the action} is running. One last note on post-flop play: If {you are|you're|you might be|you {happen to|occur to|eventually|get lucky and} be} heads {up with|track of|on top of|with} someone, throw {{in a|inside a|in the|in a very}|inside a|in the|{in a|inside a|in the|in a very} very} bluff raise occasionally. |Others bail {when the|once the|if the|in {the event|the big event|the wedding|case} the} tide turns {and they|plus they|and so they|and they also} lose 20% {of their|of the|of these|with their} winnings. The outs just became 9 {{for you|for you personally|to suit your needs|in your case}|{for you|for you personally|to suit your needs|in your case} personally|to {suit your|fit your|satisfy your} needs|in your case} hand {and the|and also the|as well as the|along with the} odds just improved {{on your|in your|on your own|on the}|in your|{on your|in your|on your own|on the} own|on the} side. |Hopefully {these things|this stuff|these items|these products} will {help you|assist you to|enable you to|allow you to} as {you are|you're|you might be|you {happen to|occur to|eventually|get lucky and} be} learning {the game|the sport|the overall game|the action} of poker. It {is possible|can be done|is achievable|may be possible} {to play|to experience|to try out|to learn} poker or any chosen gambling games online. |In addition to his writings, Hellmuth?s life story {will be|is {going to|likely to|planning to|gonna} be|{will probably|will most likely|will likely|probably will} be|will likely be} made {into a|right into a|in to a|{in a|inside a|in the|in a very}} movie by Beacon Pictures. 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That?s right, after winning {a cool|an awesome|an excellent|a very good} six grand playing poker {with his|together with his|along with his|regarding his} Navy buddies; Nixon won his way into office {with his|together with his|along with his|regarding his} big poker winnings. |Conversely, {in those times|during this time period|during this time|then though} {the word|the term|the phrase|the saying} "player" was nearly a swearword - so huge was the contempt {of the|from the|with the|in the} majority {of people|of individuals|of men and women|of folks} to {those who|people who|those that|people that} gave {the game|the sport|the overall game|the action} its due. 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Nicolas S {did not|didn't|failed to|would not} quite reach {the top|the very best|the most notable|the superior} jackpot of ?4,000 but, {with the|using the|with all the|while using} win coming {on a|on the|over a|with a} free spin, {he might|he may|he could|he or she} still {have been|{happen to|occur to|eventually|get lucky and} be|are already|are actually} celebrating. |Like fellow qualifiers Serbia & Montenegro, Croatia?s success stemmed {from a|from the|from your|coming from a} strong defence where they kept six clean sheets in 10 games and conceded just five goals {in the|within the|inside the|inside} process. 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The Suns and Clippers {get it|have it|obtain it|understand it} on {in the|within the|inside the|inside} Valley {{of the|from the|with the|in the}|from the|with the|in the} Sun and Steve Nash {has had|has already established|has received|has experienced} {time to|time {for you|for you personally|to suit your needs|in your case} to|time {and energy|and|as well as} to|time {for it|for this|because of it|correctly} to} refuel his jets, {so the|therefore the|and so the|hence the} Clippers {could be|might be|could possibly be|may be} {in trouble|in danger|struggling|having problems}. |Or {if you|should you|in {the event|the big event|the wedding|case} you|in case you} are last, {you will|you'll|you may|you are {going to|likely to|planning to|gonna}} re-{raise the|enhance the|improve the|boost the} bets that {have been|{happen to|occur to|eventually|get lucky and} be|are already|are actually} made {so far|to date|up to now|thus far} and continue {with the|using the|with all the|while using} aggressive streak of moves {from there|after that|following that|beyond this concept} on. The management system recomended that {you can|you {are able|can|can afford|will probably} to|it {is possible|can be done|is achievable|may be possible} to|you'll {be able|have the ability|find a way|have the opportunity} to} use {is very|is extremely|is quite|is incredibly} simple {to understand|to know|to comprehend|to {be aware|bear in mind|remember|take note} of}. |Seven Card Stud and Omaha Poker {are also|will also be|may also be|can also be} {very popular|extremely popular|popular|very well liked} forum topics {as well|too|also|at {the same|exactly the same|the identical|a similar} time}. 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